Xpect Xpect

Know how likely it is — before kick-off

Xpect shows the probability of corners, cards, goals and the result in every match — calculated from our own database of more than half a million matches. Every number shows its source and period.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google Play
Xpect match screen: result probabilities, over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and corner lines

Xpect

Event probabilities

Corners and yellow cards from our own model, per match and per team; result, over 2.5 and both teams to score from the market line with the margin removed.

Top of the day

Top 10 across all competitions and top 5 per competition: the matches that differ most from a typical game, plus the longest current streaks.

Toha, the AI analyst

Ask about any match: form, head-to-head, line-ups and absences, and the probability of an event. Toha is an AI, not a human, and says so.

Screens

Xpect match list with the probability of over or under 9.5 corners for each football matchXpect match screen: result probabilities, over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and corner linesXpect top of the day: football corner events that differ most from the competition averageToha, the Xpect AI analyst, answering questions about football matches

Honest accuracy

We tested the model the hard way: each match was forecast only from games played before it. Corners: 126,835 matches, 2014–2026. Cards: 159,953 matches. When we say 60–65%, it happens about that often. No “95% sure bets” — football does not work like that.

Questions

Is Xpect a betting app?

No. Xpect is analytics and statistics only: it does not accept bets and does not link to bookmakers. It is for people aged 18 and over.

How are the probabilities calculated?

Corners and cards: a model based on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average. Result and goals: the market line with the margin removed — on 16,679 matches the market was more accurate than our models, so we use it.

Is it free?

The main line of every match, the result and goal probabilities and the start of the top of the day are free. The AI analyst gives two free questions to start and then one per day. Full probabilities and more AI questions come with the Probabilities and AI analyst subscriptions.

Which leagues are covered?

More than 240 competitions worldwide: the top European leagues and their second divisions, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Colombia, MLS, Japan, Australia and more, plus the Champions League, Libertadores and national teams. Corners and cards are shown where the history is recorded.

Support

Questions, subscription issues or data requests — write to us: [email protected]